IYurophu kunye nekhaya laseMelikaukugcinwa kwamandlauphuhliso olunesantya esiphezulu
Ngaphantsi kwenjongo ye "Bicarbon", amandla amatsha amelwe yi-PV abone ukukhula ngokukhawuleza phantsi kwemigaqo-nkqubo efanelekileyo.Ngokukhula kweukugcinwa kwamandlaitekhnoloji kunye nokunciphisa iindleko, iimeko zasekhaya nazo zikhula ngokuthe ngcembe zibe yintsimi ebalulekileyo yezicelo zamandla amatsha.Ngokukodwa kwiimarike zaphesheya, amaxabiso ombane wokuhlala aqhubeka nokunyuka phantsi koqoqosho lwekhayaukugcinwa kwamandla igxininiswe ngokuthe ngcembe, idityaniswa nenkxaso-mali yoorhulumente ukuqhubela phambili ukukhuthaza ukuthandwa kwayo ngokukhawuleza.
Ukusuka kwicala lemfuno, kwelinye icala, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane okuqhubekayo kwakhokelela ekunyukeni okukhulu kwemfuno yokugcina amandla endlu.Ukususela kwingxabano yaseRashiya-ye-Ukrainian, amazwe aseYurophu afakwe kwi-inflation kunye nengxaki yamandla, amaxabiso amandla aqhubeka nokunyuka.Ngokutsho kwe-Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) eLondon, ixabiso legesi yendalo yendalo yafikelela kwi-$ 2,861.6 nge-1,000 cubic metres ngo-Agasti 22, irekhodi eliphezulu kwinani leendawo zegesi zendalo zaseYurophu, ezifikelela kwirekhodi eliphezulu ukususela kwi-1996.Ukuqhubekeka kobonelelo olungqongqo lwerhasi yendalo kukhokelele ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso ombane.Oku kukhuthaze kakhulu ukusetyenziswa kwamandla e-photovoltaic (PV) kwiimeko zasekhaya, kunye nekhaya.ukugcinwa kwamandla iqhumile.
Kwelinye icala, uzinzo olulambathayo lonikezelo lwamandla lubangele imfuno yendawo yokuhlala.Overseas inxalenye yoluntu yahlakazeka, ixabiso eliphezulu lokwakhiwa kwegridi kunye nophuculo olulandelayo lubuthathaka, umthamo wolungelelwaniso lwegridi ubuthathaka, ingakumbi phantsi kweempembelelo zemozulu egqithisileyo, iintlobo ngeentlobo zokucinywa kombane komlinganiselo omkhulu kwenzeka rhoqo, uzinzo lonikezelo lwamandla kumbane. abahlali bangamahlwempu.Nasekhayaukugcinwa kwamandlainokubonelela ngamandla kaxakeka xa ukusilela kwegridi yamandla oluntu okanye unikezelo lombane olungazinzanga, ukuphucula uzinzo lombane.
Ukusuka kwicala lokubonelela, i-photovoltaic kwi-teknoloji, isicelo kunye neminye imiba yokuqulunqwa kwenkqubo ekhulile ngakumbi, kwaye kwezinye iindawo eziphuhliswe phesheya kwezilwandle ezinezinga eliphezulu lokungena.Ngemowudi yophuhliso lwe-photovoltaic ukusuka kwinkxaso-mali, uhlobo olupheleleyo lokufikelela kwi-Intanethi ukuya kuqoqosho lwayo, utshintsho oluzenzele lona, oluxhasa imfunoukugcinwa kwamandlangokuthe ngcembe beza ngaphambili.
Phantsi kwempembelelo yobhubhane, ukunqongophala kokubonelela kunye nezinye izinto, ikhaya elitsha lehlabathiukugcinwa kwamandlaImarike ngo-2021 isagcina ukukhula okuphezulu, kunye nobukhulu obutsha obufakiweyo be-18.3GW yeeprojekthi zokugcina amandla ezisebenzayo, ukwanda kwe-185% unyaka nonyaka.Phakathi kwabo, iYurophu kunye nekhaya lase-United Statesukugcinwa kwamandlango-2021, ukuphinda kabini izinga lokukhula lonyaka libonise ukukhula okukhulayo.2021 US efakiweyo umthamo weukugcinwa kwamandlaifikelele kwi-3.51GW/10.50GWh, iphindwe kane unyaka nonyaka.Idatha efanelekileyo ibonisa ukuba umthamo omtsha ofakiweyo uya kufikelela kwi-63.4GW/202.5GWh ngo-2021-2026, apho ikhaya linokufikelela kwi-4.9GW/14.3GWh.
Ukhuphiswano oluqatha phakathi kwamashishini kwintsimi yekhayaukugcinwa kwamandla
Icala lemfuno kunye necala lokubonelela lidala ubushushu bemarike, kwaye amashishini ehlabathi nawo ayakhawulezisa uyilo lwendluukugcinwa kwamandlaintsimi.Idatha efanelekileyo ibonisa ukuba ikhaya le-TOP3ukugcinwa kwamandlaababoneleli ngo-2021 yi-Tesla, i-Pylon Technology kunye ne-BYD, i-akhawunti ye-18%, i-14% kunye ne-11% ngokulandelelanayo.
Ukuze wenze uqoqosho lwekhayaukugcinwa kwamandlaigxininiswe ngakumbi kwimarike, ngoJulayi kulo nyaka, uTesla wajoyina imikhosi kunye ne-California utility PG&E ukwenza iplanti entsha yamandla, ukubonelela abasebenzisi abafanelekileyo be-Powerwall ngembuyekezo ye-2 yeedola kWh nganye.Kuxelwe ukuba kuya kubakho abasebenzisi be-Powerwall abangama-50,000 abakulungeleyo ukufumana inkxaso-mali.Ukuba siqikelela kwimfuno yemarike yombane kunye nenani labasebenzisi be-Powerwall, ngalo lonke ixesha amandla athunyelwa, umsebenzisi uya kufumana i-$ 10-60 kwingeniso.
Kwangaxeshanye, ukumelana nokukhula okukhawulezayo kweemfuno zemarike, amashishini asekhaya nawo akhawulezisa ukwanda kwemveliso.NgoJuni kulo nyaka, iPylon Technology ikhawulezise ukwandiswa kokuphela kondoqo wokukhutshwa okucetywayo kwezabelo kwinto ethile ukunyusa inani elingekho ngaphezu kwe-5 yeebhiliyoni zeeyuan, kutyalo-mali kulwakhiwo lonyaka wemveliso ye-10GWh engundoqo kunye. umgca wemveliso wenkqubo kunye nezixhobo ezincedisayo ezinxulumeneyo, ikomkhulu kunye neprojekthi yesiseko soshishino kunye nenkunzi yokusebenza eyongezelelweyo.
Omnye umzekelo ngokaGoodwe onguvulindlela ekhayaukugcinwa kwamandlaii-inverters, ezasungula i-LynxHome F uchungechunge oluphezulu lwe-voltageukugcinwa kwamandlaiibhetri ezinoyilo olupakishiweyo, ezinokuqonda indibaniselwano eguquguqukayo ye-6.6-16kWh yokwandiswa komthamo webhetri, kwaye inokubonelela ngamandla ombane obonelelo lwamandla asekhaya.Inkampani yebhetri yePengHui yamandla kwindawo enye ukuze ibe yesizweukugcinwa kwamandlaUkuthunyelwa kwebhetri kumashishini angama-2021 TOP2, yayitshilo ngaphambili, indlu yenkampaniukugcinwa kwamandlaiimveliso kunyaka ophelileyo udlulise isatifikethi eYurophu nase-Australia, kwaye ifumene inani elikhulu lee-odolo.
Amakhayaukugcinwa kwamandlaumkhondo "umthambeka omde wekhephu elingqindilili"?
Ishishini ngokubanzi likholelwa ukuba lo nyaka ngunyaka wokuqala weukugcinwa kwamandlaimarike.Ukukhula kwangoku kwekhayaukugcinwa kwamandla, ukuze le ngxelo iqinisekisiwe.Ngoko, ekuhambeni kwexesha, ikhayaukugcinwa kwamandlamarket "slope" kwaye kuya kuba ixesha elingakanani?
Ukusuka kwindawo yokujonga iindleko zokusetyenziswa kwendawo yokuhlala, indluukugcinwa kwamandlakunye ne-photovoltaic yasekhaya exhasa ukonga ngakumbi.Kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, izinga lokungena kwe-photovoltaic kwikhaya liye landa kakhulu.Ngokwezibalo ze-Infolink, kulindeleke ukuba izinga lokungena kwe-PV yendlu yase-US kunye ne-Jamani iya kunyuka ukusuka kwi-3.3% kunye ne-11.1% ukuya kwi-6.6% kunye ne-21.5% ngo-2025. Kwangaxeshanye, i-US, izinga lokungena kwe-Optical storage yaseJamani nalo. ukuphucula, iya kuba ukusuka 0.25% ngo-2020, 2.39%, ukuya 1.24% ngo-2025, 10.02%, ukuphucula ukwanda 4.96 amaxesha, 4.19 amaxesha.
Ukunyuka kwesantya sogcino logcino lwamehlo, kuya kuzisa indawo ethile yophuhliso yokugcina amandla ekhaya.Kwaye kunye nokunyuka kwezithuthi zombane kunye nezinye izixhobo zombane, ukusetyenziswa kombane kumntu ngamnye kubahlali kuya kwanda, ngaloo ndlela kukhuthazwa ukuphuculwa kwamandla enkqubo yokugcinwa kwe-optical eyodwa, ukuzisa indawo enkulu yokukhula kweshishini.
Okwangoku, ikhaya lehlabathiukugcinwa kwamandlaImakethi eyongeziweyo igxile kakhulu eYurophu nase-United States emelwe yiJamani kunye ne-United States, kwaye ukukhula kwayo kuqhutywa yinkxaso yomgaqo-nkqubo, ukufakelwa kwe-PV yasekhaya kunyeukugcinwa kwamandlaukwanda kwezinga lokungena.Idatha yeMarkit ye-HIS ibonisa ukuba kwi-2020, indlu yehlabathiukugcinwa kwamandlaigxile kakhulu eYurophu, eJamani, eItali, eUnited Kingdom, naseJapan, eOstreliya, eUnited States njalo njalo, apho umzi odibeneyoukugcinwa kwamandlaamandla eJamani, eUnited States, eJapan kunye naseOstreliya isabelo esidityanisiweyo sendluukugcinwa kwamandlaifikelela kuma-74.8%.
Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-2021, endlwiniukugcinwa kwamandla Imarike, iTesla, kunye namandla ayo emveliso ebalaseleyo kunye nesiphumo sophawu, ibalelwa kwi-15% yekhaya lehlabathi.ukugcinwa kwamandlaimarike, ilandelwa yiPylon Technology, ishishini elivela eChina, elinesabelo se-13%.Ukongeza, abavelisi basekhaya abafana naMANDLA OMKHULU, TITHIUM, SUNGROW, DEYE, Goodwe, sofar New Energy, njl.
Ngokuqhelekileyo, iseti epheleleyo yendluukugcinwa kwamandlakuquka i-photovoltaic,ukugcinwa kwamandlai-inverter,ukugcinwa kwamandlaibhetri kunye nezinye iindawo kunye namacandelo kunye nezinye iindleko, apho eyona ngundoqo iukugcinwa kwamandlaibhetri kunyeukugcinwa kwamandlainverter.2021 i-avareji yeendleko zehardware zendluukugcinwa kwamandlaimalunga ne-2.8 yuan / Wh, ngokutsho kweukugcinwa kwamandlainkqubo avareji iindleko zonyaka ukwehla 5% yomlinganiselo, kulindeleke ukuba 2025 ikhayaukugcinwa kwamandlaubungakanani kwimarike malunga 111.7 billion yuan.
Ukususela kulo nyaka, imfuno yeukugcinwa kwamandlaizixhobo eYurophu zikhule kakhulu.Ukuze kuqinisekiswe unikezelo lwemarike, China'sukugcinwa kwamandlaikhonkco leshishini nalo liphendule ngokukhawuleza.Izibalo zeCustoms zibonisa ukuba kwisiqingatha sokuqala salo nyaka, ukuthunyelwa kwe-China kweebhetri ze-lithium-ion kunyuke nge-36.8% ngonyaka, kwaye umthamo wokuthumela ngaphandle we-inverters unyuke ngo-576.7% ngonyaka.Okwangoku, ikhayaukugcinwa kwamandlakunye neebhetri ezinomthamo omncinci ziyaqhubeka ukunqongophala, abavelisi be-PV inverter ngokusebenzisa itshaneli yokuqala yokuthunyelwa ngokugudileyoukugcinwa kwamandlaiimveliso ze-inverter, ixabiso lokuthengisa kunye nenzuzo yokugcina inqanaba eliphezulu, ikhayaukugcinwa kwamandlaiimveliso ziba yinto ebalulekileyo yokukhula ekusebenzeni kwayo kwexesha elizayo.
Ixesha lokuposa: Nov-28-2023